Abstract:When travelling on soft ground, tracked agricultural machinery is highly prone to slipping and becoming bogged down, which severely limits its maneuverability. The frozen surface has a significant impact on the maneuverability of tracked agricultural machinery on soft ground;therefore, it is essential to analyze the influence of environmental factors on the traction performance of tracked vehicles on frozen ground, Utilizing environmental data such as air temperature, duration of freezing, and precipitation, which had a key influence on soil freezing. Environmental variables, including freezing temperature, moisture content, and freezing duration were selected. Test frozen soil samples were prepared, and their shear strength was measured by using direct shear tests to analyze trends in these indicators. A traction model for tracked vehicles was established to analyze the impact of environmental variables on traction performance on frozen ground. Using data-driven algorithms to analyze the experimental data, accurate predictions of strength indices were achieved based on environmental variables, ultimately realizing end-to-end prediction from environmental variables to traction performance. The results indicated that the three environmental variables, moisture content, freezing temperature and freezing duration had a coupled effect on the shear strength of frozen soil, with freezing duration having a relatively minor influence;both freezing temperature and moisture content exerted a significant impact on the indices. Traction exhibited a distinct critical low-point region with respect to temperature and stabilized after approximately 8 hours with respect to time;meanwhile, the higher the moisture content was, the greater the loss of traction at low temperatures compared with ambient temperatures. By training the data-driven algorithm on experimental data, precise predictions of strength indicators based on environmental variables were achieved;a prediction framework for the traction performance of tracked vehicles on frozen ground based on environmental variables was established, enabling end-to-end precise prediction from environmental variables to traction performance.