Abstract:In order to overcome the limitations of conventional remote sensing technologies that depend on multispectral or hyperspectral imaging, the potential of integrating RGB images with a color space conversion algorithm was explored for the purpose of crop yield estimation and monitoring. The canopy RGB images of drip-irrigated cotton acquired via UAV at six growth stages under 16 distinct water and nitrogen treatments were utilized. These images were converted into HIS, CIELab, and CIELuv color parameters through the implementation of a color space conversion algorithm. The most suitable yield estimation window was identified through a systematic selection process. Based on the derived RGB vegetation index, three machine learning algorithms, including ridge regression, support vector machine, and random forest were used to construct the drip-irrigated cotton yield in different growth stages under three different variable combinations. The findings demonstrated a robust correlation between the RGB vegetation index and cotton yield during various growth periods. The correlation was particularly pronounced in the flowering stage, flowering and boll stage Ⅰ, flowering and boll stage Ⅱ, boll-setting stag, and boll opening stage. The correlation between vegetation index and yield in the boll opening stage exhibited the strongest correlation, and the yield estimation accuracy in the boll opening stage was the highest (coefficient of determination was greater and equal to 087, deviation was less than 10%). The boll opening stage window demonstrated the optimal yield estimation. The inversion accuracy of the random forest machine model exhibited the most optimal comprehensive performance. The inversion result of the random forest model constructed by variable combination 3 (GA, GGA, CSI, NGRDI, NGRDIveg, TGI, TGIveg, NDLab, NDLuv) was the most optimal, with a test set determination coefficient of 0.76~0.88, a root mean square error of 0.69~0.99t/hm2, a mean absolute error of 0.53~0.80t/hm2, and a deviation of 6.11%~30.65%, which was the optimal inversion model for cotton yield under drip irrigation. The findings can serve as a theoretical foundation for the utilization of drone RGB images in the estimation of cotton yield from drip irrigation and the monitoring and analysis of phenotype.