Abstract:Accurate farmland moisture monitoring is vital for agricultural water conservation and yield protection. However, existing technologies mainly focus on single indicators like soil or leaf/plant water content, lacking a systematic characterization of soil-plant water collaborative mechanisms. Taking summer maize in the Guanzhong Plain as the research object, seven indicators were integrated, including multi-depth soil water content, leaf water content, and plant water content through ground sampling. Two comprehensive moisture indices, CMI1 (using the entropy weight method) and CMI2 (using principal component analysis), were constructed to reflect the overall soil-plant moisture status. Sensitive vegetation indices were calculated and screened based on UAV multispectral data, and machine learning algorithms such as random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) were applied to develop data-driven models for moisture estimation. The results showed that both CMI1 and CMI2 effectively reflected the comprehensive moisture status of summer maize farmland soil-plant systems, while CMI2 showed better characterization accuracy of soil-plant water coupling features than CMI1 in most growth stages (e.g.,jointing and silking stages). The response relationships between vegetation indices and comprehensive moisture indices varied dynamically with growth stages, and the highest correlation coefficients between optimal vegetation indices and CMI reached 0.761, 0.795, 0.769, and 0.771 in the jointing, silking, grain-filling, and milky stages, respectively. The RF model exhibited more stable performance in both modeling and validation sets, with estimation accuracy superior to other models, enabling robust estimation of comprehensive moisture indices for summer maize. The research result presented a “multi-index integration-UAV remote sensing-dynamic modeling” framework through dual performance comparisons of moisture indices and machine learning models, offering precise field-scale monitoring solutions for smart irrigation decisions.